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  Steve Gilliard, 1964-2007
 It is with tremendous sadness that we must convey
          the news that Steve Gilliard, editor and publisher of The News Blog,
        passed away June 2, 2007. He was 42.  To those who have come to trust
        The News Blog and its insightful, brash and unapologetic editorial
        tone, we have Steve to thank from the bottom of our hearts. Steve helped
        lead many discussions that mattered to all of us, and he tackled subjects
        and interest categories where others feared to tread.
         Please keep Steve's friends and family in your
          thoughts and prayers.
         Steve meant so much to us.  We will miss him terribly.             photo by lindsay beyerstein 
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	 Grog: "A Tale of Three Republicans" 
	       
 Three: different, yet alike
 
 Thanks to Grog for this great first post - THANKS G!
 
 Or "Why have they voted for Democrats since 2004 and how might they vote
 in 2008".
 
 I have three friends, I've known one since 1979, one since around 1992,
 the third since 1995.  Since 2004, they've voted for Democrats, to
 varying degrees.  Recently, I was able to sit down and talk to them
 about their votes, why they've changed them and how they see 2008
 playing out.
 
 What they say might surprise you.
 
 First, what do these three have in common?  All characterize themselves
 as stereotypical late Boomer Republicans in that they are socially
 liberal, fiscally conservative.  All three are white, college educated
 and are associated with the federal government either as employees or
 are working for contractors who are defacto gubmint subsidiaries.  All
 three have children.  All three live in lily white suburbs, albeit in
 vastly different locations and all have children in grade school.  All
 are between 45-51.  And all voted for Republican Presidential candidates
 since the first was eligible to vote in 1976, with some exceptions which
 I'll outline below.
 
 And all three regret the day they voted for the Worst President Ever.
 And all three rue the fact that the Republican Party that they tended to
 vote with all their adult lives is not what they want it to be.
 
 Lemme start with the most recent friend.  He lives in a lily white St
 Louis suburb (aren't they all) and is a typical pointy-haired,
 mid-manager type at Boeing.  Unlike the other two, he's also a "pro-gun"
 person but not out there on the fringes.  He owns guns, likes to target
 shoot with them but isn't one of these "we all need the right to bear
 bazooka" types.  Recently on a car ride back east with him and another
 friend (who is a DFH like me), he floored us by asking "can you believe
 that 30% of this country still supports that moron in the White House?"
 I was floored.  He went onto say that last year in the MO Senate
 campaign, he voted for McCaskill!  By now I was glad I was sitting down.
 And this from a guy who had voted for No-Talent when that craptacular
 piece of party hackdom was his Congressman.  But my friend was appalled
 not only by No-Talent's unceasing loyalty to a White House run by crooks
 and incompetents, but also by his hard move to the right wing
 Christopath side of the Party.  And this from a guy who voted for the
 Worst President Ever both times!  And voted Republican for Preznit back
 to 1980.
 
 Next up, the middle friend.  He's retired Army and during his last tour
 of duty, worked in Darth Cheney's office!  Yup, the stories he can tell.
 Every bad thing you've heard about cherry picking intelligence, having a
 policy set in place and the facts be damned and a woeful ignorance of
 the world as it existed in 2003, well, he'll confirm it.  He lives in
 the DC area and works for a contractor.  In 2000, he states he made the
 biggest voting mistake of his life by voting for Nader.  He at least saw
 thru the Dry Drunk but couldn't bring himself to vote for Gore,
 primarily because of how Gore campaigned.  So, he voted for Nader.
 Oops.  He voted for Kerry in 04 and obviously voted for Webb for Senate
 in 06.  He's seen first hand what the neocons have wrought, not only on
 this country, but the world and his party.  And like the first friend,
 he's scared to death by the Christopaths and crooks running the party.
 
 Finally, the last, and oldest friend.  He's a Marine reservist who works
 for....an intelligence agency.  Like the middle friend, he bemoans the
 total lack of talent and skill that's being "recruited" into his agency.
 No longer are people prized for their analytical skills, instead, they
 hire lots of journalism majors and tell them to mostly just compile
 "facts" into reports.  Just like the Washington Stenographer Corps has
 been doing for the better part of a decade now.  This friend voted Repub
 until 1992 when he voted for Perot.  But he voted for Dole in 96 and
 Dumya in 2000.  I don't think he voted for a Presidential candidate in
 04, that's how irked he was with both sides of the equation.  He voted
 for Webb in 06 and still apologizes to me for voting for the Worst
 President Ever.  He never imagined things would get this bad.
 
 There you have it.  Three very disgruntled voters who tend to vote
 Republican.  But when asked about how they'll vote in the Presidential
 election next year, the answers surprised me.
 
 All three consider the current Republican candidates not worth voting
 for.  They have various reasons from how many of them represent the
 Reich Wing of the party, sorry, they've seen how that group has fucked
 things up here for the last six years.  McCain is viewed as too old and
 too pandering.  Ghouliani is well, Ghouliani, in other words, they
 recognize him for the nutcase that he is.  The rest?  Waaaaay too
 socially conservative for their tastes.  None brings even a glimmer of
 liking from these guys.
 
 But what they have to say about the current field of Dems was
 surprising.
 
 Friend #1, the one who didn't really bail on the party until last year,
 is probably the most open-minded of the three.  He'd consider voting for
 Clinton and is willing to give her, and everybody else on the Democratic
 side, a fair shake.  An amazing reaction given how Clinton is viewed by
 many people and the media spin that continues to fuel that perception.
 
 Friend #2 wants "the adults to come in and take over".  He's become a
 big Gore fan over the last couple of years and truely hopes Gore ver 2.0
 enters the race soon since he sees Gore as the only "adult" on the stage
 who could provide the leadership and training needed to drag this
 country out of the mess this regime has put us in.  If not, Edwards is
 his current pick of the Dems.  What he has to say about Clinton is not
 kind.  Many of us will fight her tooth and nail in the primaries but in
 the end, will hold our nose and vote for her.  Not Friend #2.  He simply
 won't vote.  Or find a third party candidate, remember, he voted for
 Nader in 00.
 
 Friend #3 also wouldn't vote for Clinton under any circumstances.  Like
 Friend #2, he's got just enough of an independent streak in him to not
 vote the party line just like he did in 92 when he voted for Perot.
 Aside from that, like Friend #1, he's giving the rest of the Dem field a
 good look and feels there are some good candidates in there.
 
 Although at first glance these three might look like what Kos terms
 "Libertarian Democrats", they really aren't.  Friends #2 and #3 have
 decidely non-libertarian and certain non-neocon views of US foreign
 policy, probably due to their backgrounds whereas Friend #1 doesn't
 really care that much.  And their domestic policy leanings are far from
 even soft libertarians.  Yeah, they view a lot of government as bloated,
 pointless and counter-productive but they also see that government has a
 vital role to play across society and value competently run government
 programs and agencies as being beneficial to society as a whole.  And
 unlike most self-professed libertarians I've met who've used that
 ideaology as mostly an excuse to trying to cut their tax payments, these
 guys don't mind paying taxes if they feel what their putting into the
 system is managed wisely.
 
 So, where does this leave us?  Assume for a moment that this country is
 divided into 3rds, 1/3 True Believers on the Right, 1/3 like us, and 1/3
 somewhere in between.  My 3 friends fall into the latter group but
 obviously the latter group is much more diverse than 3 white guys living
 in the suburbs.
 
 But, if Clinton is nominated, we might just lose 2/3s of that
 demographic of the vote.  These guys aren't looking for someone centrist
 or more to the right on certain issues, they're looking for someone who
 they feel will provide the leadership and vision this country needs over
 the next decade and both don't see Clinton providing that.  These guys
 have a strong conservative streak in them and yet, they detest DLC-style
 campaigns that were alledgedly designed to woo voters just like them.
 ATTENTION DLC:  WAKE UP!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
 Argh, I hate the whole "electability" perspective but that's just what
 I'm lurching into with this diary not to mention coming right up the
 line line in terms of Hillary bashing.  And clearly, 3 data points do
 not a trend make!  Nonetheless, my three friends provide an insight as
 to how a certain conservative-leaning demographic can
 easily vote for a bold Democrat in 08.  Two of them are
 holding their breath but have also watched the Democratic Party time and
 time again over their voting lifetimes end up choosing the "wrong"
 candidate.
 
 - posted by Grog
 Labels: GOP, politics
 
 
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